Saturday, November 17, 2012

OcTTTober 2012

I was rocked like by a hurricane, thus the post's tardiness.

There was a modest increase over September 2012, but given the gummint's penchant for revising initial numbers by thousands, it might was well be random. Year-over-year netted 6,600 positions but consider this: the legal profession industry boasted 1,115,900 jobs in October 2010, giving an anemic two-year growth of 5,700 jobs.

If you want to bet $200K on strong, sustained growth in the legal market, be my guest.

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t17.htm

Not seasonally adjustedOctober20111,115,800
August20121,120,300
September20121,114,500
October20121,121,9006,100
Seasonally adjustedOctober20111,115,000
August20121,119,700
September20121,121,000
October20121,121,6006,600
Change from Sep-12 to
Oct-12
600

Friday, October 5, 2012

SepTTTember 2012

This is a glass-half-full report. Total legal jobs increased by 6K year-over-year; however, there are only 5K more jobs than September 2010. Further, I normally work with seasonally adjusted numbers and September looks a little out-of-whack compared to the previous year (see the prior year post). Whatever. It's not like there's a campaign going on or something.

In other news, if you read my blog roll you'll see commentary on what is hopefully not the start of a noxious trend. UC Hastings reduced its class size 20% while simultaneously increasing tuition 15% to make up the lost revenue. So, the school will end up with fewer, more deeply indebted graduates. Let's be serious: prices are sticky downward and I suspect the temptation to increase the class size in future years while keeping tuition the same will be irresistible. "Hey, on an inflation-adjusted basis we reduced tuition!"

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t17.htm

Not seasonally adjustedSeptember20111,110,900
July20121,133,300
August20121,120,100
September20121,113,9003,000
Seasonally adjustedSeptember20111,114,500
July20121,120,800
August20121,119,400
September20121,120,4005,900
Change from Aug-12 to
Sep-12
1,000

Monday, September 24, 2012

Internet Voter Registration Day

Notwithstanding my comments in a previous post, I encourage everyone eligible to vote this November to register. You truly marginalize yourself if you don't. Further, please keep an eye on SOPA, PIPA, and their bastard cousins. The mass internet protest was one instance where Congress did listen. I operate several web sites and participated in the online protests, which is the main reason I was amenable to spreading the message below.


The US elections are coming up. Are you ready? http://internetvotes.org/

This year, we saw just how dangerous the deep corruption in American politics could be to the open Internet.

On behalf of big media companies, elected leaders almost passed SOPA & PIPA, bills that would have censored the web and destroyed some of the best sites online. Meanwhile, the Justice Department used massive amounts of public money to destroy Megaupload, a free service many of us used every day.

Why did so many politicians side with media companies instead of voters? It's simple: they thought they could get away with it. Only 41% of Americans voted in the 2010 elections [1]. And turnout for Americans under 30--who overwhelmingly knew about SOPA and opposed it--was just 20.4% [2].

But this year we can change that, forever. Why? Because the Internet gives us a perfect platform to register and mobilize new voters, and we're building the tools to make it happen. The first step is a voter registration widget you can embed in your website.

If you're not registered, click here to try it out -- http://internetvotes.org

If you have a website, we're planning our first day of action this Tuesday, September 25th. Tuesday is "National Voter Registration Day", and the plan is to get hundreds or thousands of sites--large and small-- to join in and register their users starting that day.

Got a website? Sign up here to participate and get the code -- http://internetvotes.org/

And if you use Facebook or Twitter, help us spread the word about "Internet Voter Registration Day" on Tuesday:

Thanks for being a part of this!

Sincerely,

Holmes Wilson and the whole Fight for the Future team.

[1] http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/cats/elections/voting-age_population_and_voter_participation.html

[2] http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2010G.html

Sunday, September 9, 2012

Dog days of AugusTTT 2012

There was a small drop in legal employment in August but there also remain small gains over August 2011 and 2010. The short story is that legal employment has not budged in two years.

Stay home in November

I was going to make this a separate post but am bad about letting things slide, so here goes. Please stay home this November. In the past, particularly with an incumbent running, I've supported the least worst candidate, usually while holding my nose. This year, I don't care who wins.

People need to learn to vote their own interest. That means paying attention — granted, it's not as exciting as following Prince Harry, but a lot more important — and participating. Having been involved in NJ politics, I'm keenly aware of ignorance and apathy and reflexively voting down "your" party's column.

If you're not looking out for Number One then you're just another useful idiot. Trust me: politicians don't respect you. Members of noisy enthusiastic fringe groups, they'll use your energy and patronize you while keeping you at arm's length and then forgetting about you until the next campaign. They look at taxpayers as a wallet and taxpayers' children and grandchildren as co-signers.

A word about Barack Obama. I like the guy and still have his 2008 campaign signs. His handling of the rest of the planet is perfectly acceptable. His handling of the domestic economy is appalling, consisting mainly of blaming Bush, which he will do until January 2017 if given the chance. Obama came into office with tremendous political capital and squandered it pushing through a costly healthcare program, fiddling while the economy burned. His legacy will be a massive increase in both the national debt, which is $16 trillion as I type this, and entitlement spending. And unemployed lawyers, courtesy of propping up a venal education industry with federal loans. And, "[I]f you've been successful, you didn't get there on your own." If anyone thinks Obama has a clue what he's doing, kindly post a link in the comments for all to see. This election could have been the Republicans for the taking, but they're even worse.

Now, a word about Mitt Romney. Please reread above how I advise people to look out for Number One. Romney looks out for Number One, which is how he got where he is. Don't vote for Mitt. This is coming from a Chris Christie supporter who voted Republican until George W. Bush's second term. I don't care if Romney travels with his dog on the car roof, but I do care about his refusing to release tax returns and his "only little people pay taxes" mentality. The 2012 Republican platform is all about Mitt, with some red meat for a white base. One more time: Mitt looks out for himself and so should you. His and your goals don't mesh.

I don't normally recommend JDU, but would like to share this post. It seems hyperbolic until you consider we live in a country where educational institutions are free to lie about their graduates' outcomes yet the graduates can't have their education debt discharged in bankruptcy.

Better enjoy your last Labor day off while you can, if the latest two horsemen of the 21st century American apocalypse, Romney and his bastard son Ryan are elected. No more paid holidays off next year. Going to the beach with your kids, have fun, because next year they will be working right next to you at one of Laimbrain Capital's subsidiaries when they do away with the child labor laws. Think you are leaving at 5:00, uh uh, no more forty hour weeks, just like Romney's Chinese masters. Hurt yourself at work, see ya wouldn't want to be ya. When you get out the hospital, we will put your shit on the street and deduct the cost from your last check. And don't think they checks are gonna keep coming because we just did away with workers compensation laws, hurting yourself is a cost of doing business and you should have bought a disability policy from the same thugs who sell you Full Sail University. Wife want to keep her job, she better go out and buy herself some knee pads, at her expense of course, because there is no longer any such thing as sexual harassment.

Forty hour weeks, workers compensation, child labor laws, work place safety laws, OHSA, company paid health and disability insurance, paid national holidays, paid vacations - all of this was not just passed out by the like of Prescott Bush and George Romney because they and their companies were benevolent. No, men and women too, as brave as the people we honor on Memorial day and the Fourth of July fought for these benefits, sticking their lives and the lives of their families lives out on the line. And yet the fools want to vote for people who will do away with workers rights, fought for over a hundred years, because their precious little snow flake didn't get into Harvard and some black kid from the projects, with a .5 lower GPA'S did.

And Ryan, whose mother benefited from the social security system when her husband died, is the first to give it all back, just like his hero Raygun, who stabbed the air traffic controllers in the back after they were the first to support him. And Uncle Clarence Thomas, who on his way up, played the affirmative action card from the bottom of the deck, and is now too stupid to ask a question, doesnt think twice about screwing over people who are in the situation he once was.

All of you sensible people out there, enjoy this holiday and remember, good friends don't let their friends vote Republican.

If you're not in a swing state, you can vote for whomever you like; the electoral college ensures your vote is meaningless, your congressperson (and Senator, if running) is virtually guaranteed re-election, and the people who only vote in presidential elections are going back to FaceBook as soon as they leave the polling place. If you're in a swing state, let the local Democratic campaign know why you're sitting this one out. Maybe they'll get finally get religion and stop taking their supporters for granted. Nah.

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t17.htm

Not seasonally adjustedAugust20111,120,500
June20121,131,200
July20121,132,800
August20121,120,000-500
Seasonally adjustedAugust20111,115,700
June20121,118,800
July20121,120,300
August20121,118,9003,200
Change from Jul-12 to
Aug-12
-1,400

Thursday, August 30, 2012

Happy belated third anniversary, TTR!

I intended to post this a week ago, but then I intend to do all kinds of things before life intervenes.

Third Tier Reality turned three on August 20. As a fan since inception, I'd like to congratulate Nando. Here's the post that started it all.

What a different world it was back in 2009! The jerks who run TLS crammed all bad news into one allowed thread and waited for an economic recovery that still hasn't come, oblivious to structural changes in the industry. David Segal's landmark Is Law School a Losing Game? was still well over a year away. Inside the Law School Scam, initially published anonymously, was still two years away. Meanwhile, contemporary scambloggers were considered bitter losers who should have studied harder and networked more.

No need to state the obvious: in incorporating attention-grabbing visual and stylistic elements, his blog stands out. That, combined with inconvenient truths (hard to argue with a 990 return, isn't it?), an endless supply of material from a scummy legal academy, and sheer persistence, has kept it going. Truthfully, my favorite thing about TTR is how much its mere existence pisses people off. There's a new blog, published by an anonymous, inarticulate simpleton, whose sole content is ad hominem attacks against Nando, that … whoops, it's gone already!

As of August 2012, the word about law school is out. Applications are down and the strongest candidates are either bargaining hard with the T14 or forgoing law school altogether. Possibly everyone who can be reached, has been reached.

"MY GOAL IS TO INFORM POTENTIAL LAW SCHOOL STUDENTS AND APPLICANTS OF THE UGLY REALITIES OF ATTENDING LAW SCHOOL."

Mission accomplished!

Saturday, August 4, 2012

July 2012

Writing this is like something out of Groundhog Day. There was a gain of 1,400 jobs over June 2012 and 4,500 since July 2011. For illustration, revisit the July 2011 post. Using the revised July 2011 figures, there was a gain in the neighborhood of 4,500 in both years, or 9,300 since July 2010.

I don't know how to determine how many lawyers, paralegals, and legal secretaries left the "profession," but it's an important figure, because that's the only way someone new can enter it.

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t17.htm

Not seasonally adjustedJuly20111,127,400
May20121,115,800
June20121,131,000
July20121,132,2004,800
Seasonally adjustedJuly20111,116,000
May20121,119,300
June20121,119,100
July20121,120,5004,500
Change from Jun-12 to
Jul-12
1,400